New Ice Age to Begin in 2014 – Russian Scientist to Global Alarmists: “Sun Heats Earth”

New Ice Age to Begin in 2014 – Russian Scientist to Global Alarmists: “Sun Heats Earth!”


By Jerome R. Corsi

1776Nation.com



As the Obama administration prepares to move ahead with its global warming ideological agenda, Russian scientists are worried we are entering a new ice age.



Speaking to an international climate change meeting in Chicago in May 2010, Dr. Habibullo Abdussamatov, the head of the space research at St. Petersburg’s Pulkovo Astronomical Observatory in Russia, predicted a new “Little Ice Age” would begin in the year 2014, four years from now.



The “Little Ice Age,” known in scientific circles as the Medieval Warm Period is typically defined as having extended for some two hundred years during the 16th to the 19th centuries, beginning around 1650 and extending through 1850.



In 2003-2005, Abdussamatov predicted a reduction of sunspot activity that would reach a new deep minimum of sunspot activity in 2042, resulting in a deep global temperature minimum to be reached in the years 2055-2060.



“My predictions are looking better and better with each passing year,” Abdussamatov commented.



Science Bulletin: “Sun heats Earth!”



Abdussamatov has published a paper in which he tracks sunspot activity going back into the 19th century to argue that total sun irradiance, or TSI, is the primary factor responsible for causing climate variations on Earth, not carbon dioxide.



Moreover, Abdussamatov’s analysis of sun activity data has led him to conclude that the Earth is entering a prolonged cooling phase because sunspot activity is currently in a phase regarded as a “minimum.”



“Observations of the sun show that as for the increase in temperature, carbon doioxide is ‘not guilty,’” Abdussamatov wrote, “and as for what lies ahead in the coming decades, it is not catastrophic warming, but a global, and very prolonged temperature drop.”



Abdussamatov’s paper is featured on page 140 of 2009 report issued by the U.S. Senate Committee on Environment and Public Works, http://www.epw.senate.gov/public/index.cfm?FuseAction=Minority.Blogs&ContentRecord_id=10fe77b0-802a-23ad-4df1-fc38ed4f85e3 documenting more than 700 scientists who disagree over the proposition that global warming is a man-made, or anthropogenic phenomenon.



As historical support for his theory, Abdussamatov cited the observations in 1893 made by the English astronomer Walter Maunder who came to the conclusion that from 1645 to 1715, sunspots had been generally absent, which coincided with the middle and coldest part of the severe temperature dip known as the “Little Ice Age” that stretched from the fourteenth to the nineteenth centuries.



Abdussamatov also observed “the most significant solar event in the 20th century was the extraordinarily high level and the prolonged (virtually over the entire century) increase in the energy radiated by the sun,” resulting in the global warming that today climate alarmists believe is man-made phenomenon. (Parenthesis in original text.)



“The intense solar energy flow radiated since the beginning of the 1990s is slowly and decreasingly and, in spite of conventional opinion, there is now an unavoidable advance toward a global decrease, a deep temperature drop comparable to the Maunder minimum,” he wrote.



Abdussamatov contends that over the past decade, global temperature on the Earth has not increased; global warming has ceased, and already there are signs of the future deep temperature drop.



“The observed global warming of the climate of the Earth is not caused by the anthropogenic emissions of greenhouse gasses, but by extraordinarily high solar intensity that extended over virtually the entire past century,” Abdussamatov wrote. “Future decrease in global temperature will occur even if anthropogenic ejection of carbon dioxide into the atmosphere rises to record levels.”



Russian space station charged with refining ice age prediction



In his capacity of the head of the Russian-Ukrainian project “Astrometria” on the Russian segment of the International Space Station, Abdussamatov is conducting additional research to refine his prediction that a new Little Ice Age will begin in 2014.



Abdussamatov warned that more precise determination of the date of the onset of the upcoming deep temperature drop and the depth of the decrease in the global temperature of the Earth may not be available for another eight years, awaiting measurements of the form and diameter of the sun currently being made from the Russian segment of the International Space Station the calculations currently being made in the http://www.bobbrinsmead.com/e_Abdussamatov.html Russian-Ukrainan project “Astrometria” that Abdussamatov is now directing.



“If the Astrometria project is developed in time,” Abdussamatov said, “we will be able to develop a more precise forecast of the duration and the depth of the approaching new Little Ice Age and to understand the reasons of cyclical changes taking place in the interior of the sun and the ways they affect the Earth and various scopes of human activity.”



Abdussamatov’s theory is that “long-term variations in the amount of solar energy reaching the Earth are the main and principal reasons driving and defining the whole mechanism of climatic changes from the global warming to the Little Ice Ages to the big glacial periods.”



In the conclusion to his speech, Abdussamatov took on global warming hysterics that want to diminish human use of hydrocarbon fuels, encouraging instead that a reasonable way to combat coming cooling trends would be “to maintain economical growth in order to adapt to the upcoming new Little Ice Age in the middle of the 21st century.”



Abdussamatov’s research amounts to a sharp rebuke to climate alarmists who believe human-generated carbon dioxide is responsible for causing catastrophic global warming, issuing instead what to many global warming alarmists would amount to a news flash announcing “Sun Heats Earth!”



January 10, 2011