No, the world ISN'T getting
warmer (as you may have noticed). Now we reveal the official data that's making
scientists suddenly change their minds about climate doom. So will eco-funded
MPs stop waging a green crusade with your money? Well... what do YOU
think?
The Mail on Sunday today
presents irrefutable evidence that official predictions of global climate
warming have been catastrophically flawed.
The graph on this page
blows apart the ‘scientific basis’ for Britain reshaping its entire economy and
spending billions in taxes and subsidies in order to cut emissions of greenhouse
gases. These moves have already added £100 a year to household energy
bills.
global warming graph
Steadily climbing orange
and red bands on the graph show the computer predictions of world temperatures
used by the official United Nations’ Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change
(IPCC).
The estimates – given with
75 per cent and 95 per cent certainty – suggest only a five per cent chance of
the real temperature falling outside both bands.
But when the latest
official global temperature figures from the Met Office are placed over the
predictions, they show how wrong the estimates have been, to the point of
falling out of the ‘95 per cent’ band completely.
The graph shows in
incontrovertible detail how the speed of global warming has been massively
overestimated. Yet those forecasts have had a ruinous impact on the bills we
pay, from heating to car fuel to huge sums paid by councils to reduce carbon
emissions.
The eco-debate was, in
effect, hijacked by false data. The forecasts have also forced jobs abroad as
manufacturers relocate to places with no emissions targets.
A version of the graph
appears in a leaked draft of the IPCC’s landmark Fifth Assessment Report due out
later this year. It comes as leading climate scientists begin to admit that
their worst fears about global warming will not be realised.
Academics are revising
their views after acknowledging the miscalculation. Last night Myles Allen,
Oxford University’s Professor of Geosystem Science, said that until recently he
believed the world might be on course for a catastrophic temperature rise of
more than five degrees this century.
But he now says: ‘The odds
have come down,’ – adding that warming is likely to be significantly
lower. Prof Allen says higher estimates are now ‘looking iffy’.
The graph confirms there
has been no statistically significant increase in the world’s average
temperature since January 1997 – as this newspaper first disclosed last
year.
At the end of last year the
Met Office revised its ten-year forecast predicting a succession of years
breaking records for warmth. It now says the pause in warming will last until at
least 2017. A glance at the graph will confirm that the world will be cooler
than even the coolest scenario predicted.
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